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Sunday, May 31, 2009

Sotomayor And 'Disparate Impact'

Fortunately, skill or knowledge or merit or worth make little difference in the sphere of government. But imagine if medical school or mechanical engineering or architecture or electronic systems design functioned this way. You are driving along and the electronic engine control fails just as the "drive by wire" steering dies just as the poorly designed bridge support gives way. You are comforted that those systems were designed by those who might have been victims of "disparate impact" ... if actual competence were required.
Sotomayor And 'Disparate Impact'
The controversial New Haven firefighters case illustrates a civil rights paradox.
Underlying Judge Sonia Sotomayor's most controversial decision -- her vote last year against 18 white firefighters (including one Hispanic) who were denied promotions on account of their race -- is a painful conflict between two civil-rights principles that were once seen as complementary.

The first principle is the anti-discrimination ideal embodied by the original 1964 Civil Rights Act and by Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.'s dream of a nation where people "will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character." That ideal rejects intentional discrimination against -- or preferences for -- individuals based on race, creed, color, national origin, or sex, and calls instead for allocating opportunities based on individual ability and effort.

The second principle redefines "discrimination" to include the use by employers of any merit-based tests or other objective criteria for hiring or promotion that have a "disparate impact" on different ethnic groups -- as almost all objective tests have.

Even employers who intend no discrimination can be held liable to ethnic groups that fare badly on their tests unless the employers can prove to the satisfaction of often-skeptical courts that the tests (or other selection criteria) are required by "business necessity."

The surest way for employers to avoid such disparate-impact liability has been to discard the anti-discrimination principle and allocate jobs and promotions in part on the basis of ethnicity, as detailed below.

In the firefighters case--on which the Supreme Court heard arguments in April -- the city of New Haven, Conn., has defended its denial of promotions to the white firefighters, who had the highest scores on a test of job-related skills, as necessary to avoid a disparate-impact lawsuit by blacks. None of the African-Americans did well enough on the test to qualify for promotion.

Two Hispanic-American judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit -- both appointed by President Clinton -- took dramatically contrasting positions last year on the white firefighters' anti-discrimination lawsuit against the city.

A three-judge panel including Sotomayor upheld, and adopted as its own, a federal District judge's ruling against the white firefighters. The panel set aside the anti-discrimination principle on the grounds that New Haven feared (among other things) that promoting the whites "would subject the city to public criticism" and would probably result in a disparate-impact lawsuit by blacks "that, for political reasons, the city did not want to defend."

So much for the anti-discrimination principle -- not to mention President Obama's professed desire to find judges with "empathy" for, among others, wronged workers who sue employers and for people who invoke their "individual rights" against governments.

The other Clinton-appointed Hispanic judge, Jose Cabranes, was so disturbed when he learned of the panel's curiously "perfunctory disposition" that he sought to have it reconsidered by the full 2nd Circuit. He lost by a 7-6 vote. In a dissent for the six, Cabranes suggested that the case might involve "an unconstitutional racial quota or set-aside." He added:

"At its core, this case presents a straightforward question: May a municipal employer disregard the results of a qualifying examination, which was carefully constructed to ensure race-neutrality, on the ground that the results of that examination yielded too many qualified applicants of one race and not enough of another?"

Back in 1971, when the Supreme Court first grafted disparate-impact rules onto the 1964 Civil Rights Act, they seemed to complement the anti-discrimination ideal.

The problems addressed by the 1971 decision were the difficulty of proving intent to discriminate and the fact that many companies -- especially those employing blue-collar workers without college educations -- were evading the 1964 act's ban on overt discrimination by using written tests designed less to measure job-related skills than to screen out blacks.

The Court's response was to rule that any test with a "disparate impact" on blacks -- meaning that disproportionate numbers had low scores -- was presumed to be invalid unless required by "business necessity." Lack of intent to discriminate was no defense to such a disparate-impact suit. This remains the law today, although the Court and Congress (in 1991) have tinkered with the detailed rules.

Over the decades since 1971, fewer and fewer employers have engaged in intentional racial discrimination against blacks or Hispanics. Likewise, the objective tests used by employers -- including the New Haven fire department's written and oral promotional exams -- have been more and more carefully designed to be valid measures of job-related skills.

Two things have remained constant, however. First, blacks and, to a lesser extent, Hispanics, score markedly lower on average than whites and Asians on objective tests of job-related skills -- whether for firefighter, police officer, manufacturing worker, or other blue-collar jobs.

This is what one might expect in a nation still plagued by vastly unequal educational opportunities and academic performance. Studies show, for example, that on average, the math and reading levels of black 17-year-olds are no higher than those of whites and Asians in the eighth grade. And the gap is not closing.

The second constant is the reluctance of employers either to risk the expense and bad publicity of a disparate-impact suit -- no matter how unwarranted -- or to gamble on their ability to prove job-relatedness and business necessity to the satisfaction of whichever judge they may draw.

Some judges seem to indulge the elitist fantasy that the knowledge measured by objective tests has little to do with non-college-educated workers' ability to perform well in positions such as fire lieutenant. Other judges stress -- with more validity -- that objective tests cannot measure such subjective assets as leadership ability.

For these reasons, fear of disparate-impact suits has prompted many employers either to do away with objective tests entirely or to use racial preferences insofar as necessary to hire and promote more low-scoring minorities, or both.

New Haven's decision not to promote the high-scoring white firefighters was a variation on this theme. Local civil service rules -- designed to avoid the awarding of promotions based on personal or political favoritism -- would not allow the city to promote low-scoring blacks. So the city decided not to promote the high-scoring whites either, even at the cost of leaving many officer positions vacant for years.

The disparate-impact dynamic has the benefit of expanding opportunities for preferred minorities. But it also has great costs. It is unjust to high-scoring white and Asian workers; it has greatly eroded the anti-discrimination principle; and it downgrades incentives for students and workers to study and learn -- both in school and in rigorous test-preparation courses such as the one that helped some New Haven firefighters improve their skills and do well on the test.

That is a most unhealthy message to be sending to blue-collar families at a time when America's competitiveness is being crippled by the inferior educations of many of our high school graduates compared with those in other developed countries.

Professed fear of disparate-impact lawsuits can also provide excuses for government employers that want to discriminate against white workers. Why would they want to do that? The main reason is identity politics -- for which, I argued in my May 23 column, Sotomayor seemed to exude some sympathy in a 2001 speech.

Indeed, the evidence in the New Haven case strongly suggests that racial politics was the city's main reason for snatching away the white firefighters' expected promotions, amid intense political pressure to give blacks a share.

Even the Obama Justice Department found fault, in a friend-of-the-court brief, with the failure of Sotomayor and her colleagues to question whether the city's professed concern about disparate-impact liability "may be a pretext" for racial politics. But the brief also argued that the city should prevail in any further proceedings if it can show a reasonable basis for fearing that it might lose a disparate-impact suit.

In any event, such reverse racial discrimination will persist -- and perhaps become ever more pervasive -- for as long as employers fear disparate-impact liability more than they fear liability for intentional discrimination against whites and Asians.

The five more conservative Supreme Court justices, who value the anti-discrimination principle more than their liberal colleagues do, are well aware of this. They seem likely to reverse the decision by Sotomayor and her panel colleagues in the New Haven case and rule for the high-scoring white firefighters. In the process, they may also make it easier for employers who intend no discrimination to fend off disparate-impact lawsuits in the future, the better to reduce the incentives for reverse discrimination against whites and Asians.

But in the long run, soon-to-be-Justice Sotomayor and other judicial nominees chosen by Obama and his successors will be the people who determine whether the anti-discrimination principle and Dr. King's dream will live on, or whether they will be swept into the dustbin of history.

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Sotomayor's Gun Control Positions Could Prompt Conservative Backlash

These are merely Federal rights... they have nothing to do with people living in states:
Amendment I

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.

Amendment II

A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed.

Amendment III

No soldier shall, in time of peace be quartered in any house, without the consent of the owner, nor in time of war, but in a manner to be prescribed by law.

Amendment IV

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

Amendment V

No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a grand jury, except in cases arising in the land or naval forces, or in the militia, when in actual service in time of war or public danger; nor shall any person be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb; nor shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself, nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.

Amendment VI

In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the state and district wherein the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the assistance of counsel for his defense.

Amendment VII

In suits at common law, where the value in controversy shall exceed twenty dollars, the right of trial by jury shall be preserved, and no fact tried by a jury, shall be otherwise reexamined in any court of the United States, than according to the rules of the common law.

Amendment VIII

Excessive bail shall not be required, nor excessive fines imposed, nor cruel and unusual punishments inflicted.

Amendment IX

The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people.

Amendment X

The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people.

Apparently, only if you are a citizen of the United States, not living in a state or in a foreign country, do you qualify for these rights.
Sotomayor's Gun Control Positions Could Prompt Conservative Backlash

Earlier this year, President Obama's Supreme Court nominee joined an opinion with the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals ruling that Second Amendment rights do not apply to the states.

FOXNews.com

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Judge Sonia Sotomayor could walk into a firestorm on Capitol Hill over her stance on gun rights, with conservatives beginning to question some controversial positions she's taken over the past several years on the Second Amendment.

Earlier this year, President Obama's Supreme Court nominee joined an opinion with the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals ruling that Second Amendment rights do not apply to the states.

A 2004 opinion she joined also cited as precedent that "the right to possess a gun is clearly not a fundamental right." [ed. what happened to Amendment II?]

Ken Blackwell, a senior fellow with the Family Research Council, called Obama's nomination a "declaration of war against America's gun owners."

Such a line of attack could prove more effective than efforts to define Sotomayor as pro-abortion, efforts that essentially grasp at straws. Sotomayor's record on that hot-button issue reveals instances in which she has ruled against an abortion rights group and in favor of anti-abortion protesters, making her hard to pigeonhole.

But Sotomayor's position on gun control is far more crystallized.

Blackwell, who also ran unsuccessfully to head the Republican National Committee, told FOX News her position is "very, very disturbing."

"That puts our Second Amendment freedoms at risk," he said. "What she's basically saying is that your hometown can decide to suppress your Second Amendment freedoms."

The chief concern is her position in the 2009 Maloney v. Cuomo case, in which the court examined a claim by a New York attorney that a New York law that prohibited possession of nunchucks violated his Second Amendment rights. The Appeals Court affirmed the lower court's decision that the Second Amendment does not apply to the states.

The ruling explained that it was "settled law" that the Second Amendment applies only to limitations the federal government might seek on individual gun rights.

Despite last year's landmark Supreme Court ruling in the District of Columbia v. Heller, in which the court ruled that the Second Amendment protects an individual right to bear arms, the Maloney ruling determined that case "does not invalidate this longstanding principle" that states are not covered by the Second Amendment. (Another appeals court since the Heller case reached the opposite conclusion.)

Justice David Souter, whom Sotomayor would replace, dissented from the majority decision in D.C. v. Heller, so Sotomayor wouldn't necessarily tip the balance on such issues. But she's joining a split body -- the D.C. case was a 5-4 decision -- and with the Maloney case likely to be appealed to the Supreme Court her presence could be threatening to gun rights groups.

"We have concerns and we have questions," Andrew Arulanandam, public affairs director for the National Rifle Association, told FOXNews.com. He said the NRA would work with members of Congress to have those concerns addressed in the coming months, and that the NRA has researchers looking more closely at Sotomayor's gun rights record.

Ken Klukowski, a fellow and legal analyst with the American Civil Rights Union, predicted this issue would heat up as the confirmation process moves forward.

"If this nomination were not to succeed, it would likely be because of the Second Amendment issue," he said.

Klukowski questioned the brevity of the Maloney decision, which spanned only a few pages, more than the actual conclusion. He said it glossed over decades of relevant legal precedent.

"The idea that you would be the first circuit court to take up this profound, constitutional question after the Supreme Court's landmark ruling and only give it one paragraph is stunning," he said.

But Paul Helmke, president of the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, said the issue of Sotomayor's gun rights position is being "overblown" since the court was merely following precedent. He agreed that the Heller decision did not mean Second Amendment rights apply to states.

He said any controversy over the issue would be a "red herring."

As interest groups launch a heated campaign to define Sotomayor and draw the battle lines ahead of her confirmation process, the White House has voiced unequivocal confidence in her judgment.

White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said Thursday that Obama was "very comfortable with her interpretation of the Constitution being similar to that of his."

FOXNews.com's Judson Berger and FOX News' Shannon Bream contributed to this report.

Clearly, freedom of speech was not intended for individuals who are not part of the federal government administration either.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

G.M. Nears Bankruptcy as Debt Exchange Fails

Will President Obama sic the dogs after the GM bond holders as he did with the Chrysler bond holders? Will bankruptcy law become a matter of how we feel about who is owed what? Will the UAW own both Chrysler and GM when President Obama grants it the government-owned shares and how will the bond holders feel? How do we feel about this? Do we have empathy? How will our new Supreme Court justice feel about this? What will this experience do for bankruptcy law?
G.M. Nears Bankruptcy as Debt Exchange Fails

Published: May 27, 2009

Bondholders at General Motors on Wednesday rejected an offer to exchange $27 billion in debt for a small amount of stock, as G.M. prepared for a bankruptcy filing that could come as soon as this weekend.

In Europe, the company moved to combine its main operations under the umbrella of Adam Opel, its German business, to simplify the sale of the unit.

In a statement about the bondholders, G.M. did not give vote totals for the tender offer, which began on April 27 and expired at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday. G.M. had required 90 percent of bondholders to agree to exchange their debt, said said Wednesday morning that the notes tendered were “substantially less than the amount required.”

Without approval, G.M. had said it would seek bankruptcy protection. But it made no announcement of its plans. The company said it had withdrawn its offer, and that its board would meet to decide further steps.

The company is expected to spend the next few days finishing its bankruptcy case. One important element before it files is securing the approval by the United Automobile Workers union of a new set of concessions.

Workers are voting on the proposal in meetings on Wednesday. It would form the basis of a labor contract between the union and the new version of G.M. that is expected to emerge from bankruptcy protection.

In Europe, the combination of G.M.’s businesses, which is contingent on Berlin’s approval, would help to “ring fence” the assets from a bankruptcy filing of the parent company, and would make German government and General Motors equal partners, a G.M. spokeswoman in Zurich, Karin Kirchner, said.

“The intention is to pool the Opel and Vauxhall assets under the Adam Opel unit,” Ms. Kirchner said. “We’re doing this in preparation for a trustee model that has been proposed by the German government.”The simplified structure could ease the way to the next step, which is expected to be a sale of Opel to either Fiat, the Italian carmaker, or Magna International, the Canadian auto parts maker, which is backed by the Russian lender Sberbank. The winning bidder will most likely be announced later Wednesday, the German finance minister Peer Steinbrück told journalists in Berlin.

Chancellor Angela Merkel and other top German politicians, including governors from states with Opel plants, were to meet with Fiat and Magna executives, as well as representatives of G.M. and the United States government.

Mr. Steinbrück said the interest expressed by a Chinese company, widely reported to be Beijing Automotive, might have come too late. Beijing Automotive officials could not be reached for comment and G.M. and the German government declined to further identify the Chinese bidder.

RHJ International, a Belgian-listed investment company, has also proffered a bid, but German officials have signaled that the Magna or Fiat bids were considered the most serious.

“The chancellor has to examine the offer by Magna very closely because in my opinion, as far as I’m informed, it’s the most realistic, the best offer,” said Peter Struck, the parliamentary leader of the Social Democrats, who, with the Christian Democratic Union of Merkel, form the governing coalition.

German state and federal governments have put together a loan guarantee package of 1.5 billion euros, or $2.1 billion, to pave the way for a deal for Opel.

As skepticism about Fiat’s offer has spread, Magna executives have mounted a campaign to assuage German officials in matters where its own offer had ruffled feathers.

For example, Magna’s bid initially foresaw the elimination of 2,200 jobs in Bochum, in northwestern Germany, a step that drew the ire of Juergen Ruettgers, the governor of North Rhine-Westphalia, where Bochum is located. Magna wants to cut 2,600 jobs in Germany overall.

Magna has since floated the idea of moving production of the Opel Astra, a line of small family sedans, from Antwerp, Belgium, to Bochum, allowing it to keep more positions there.

German officials said that Fiat stuck to its plans to keep Opel’s three assembly plants, but close the engine plant in Kaiserslautern.

The Magna offer would put 35 percent of Opel in the hands of Sberbank, a Russian bank, and include cooperation with GAZ, a Russian automaker. Oleg Deripaska, an ally of Prime Minister Vladimir V. Putin, is the controlling shareholder in GAZ.

Nelson D. Schwartz contributed reporting from Paris, Micheline Maynard from Detroit and Keith Bradsher from Hong Kong.

Sotomayor’s Rulings Are Exhaustive but Often Narrow

President Obama's choice as the next Supreme Court justice may or may not be a good one. Choosing a justice based on race, religion, or ethnic background first and then judicial skills hardly seems appropriate... even if it is popular among special interests.

Judge Sotomayor is considered competent. That's good. But that's not what is getting attention.
Sotomayor’s Rulings Are Exhaustive but Often Narrow
Published: May 26, 2009

WASHINGTON — Judge Sonia Sotomayor’s judicial opinions are marked by diligence, depth and unflashy competence. If they are not always a pleasure to read, they are usually models of modern judicial craftsmanship, which prizes careful attention to the facts in the record and a methodical application of layers of legal principles.

Ron Jordan Natoli Studio/U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, via Associated Press

U.S. Appeals Court Judge Sonia Sotomayor.

Room for Debate

What Judge Sonia Sotomayor’s experiences and views might mean for the court.

Does Biography Matter?

Judge Sotomayor, whom President Obama announced Tuesday as his choice for the Supreme Court, has issued no major decisions concerning abortion, the death penalty, gay rights or national security. In cases involving criminal defendants, employment discrimination and free speech, her rulings are more liberal than not.

But they reveal no larger vision, seldom appeal to history and consistently avoid quotable language. Judge Sotomayor’s decisions are, instead, almost always technical, incremental and exhaustive, considering all of the relevant precedents and supporting even completely uncontroversial propositions with elaborate footnotes.

All of which makes her remarkably cursory treatment last year of an employment discrimination case brought by firefighters in New Haven so baffling. The unsigned decision by Judge Sotomayor and two other judges, which affirmed the dismissal of the claims from 18 white firefighters, one of them Hispanic, contained a single paragraph of reasoning.

The brief decision in the case, which bristles with interesting and important legal questions about how the government may take account of race in employment, will probably attract more questions at her Supreme Court confirmation hearings than any of the many hundreds of much more deeply considered decisions she has written.

Judge Sotomayor’s current court, the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, in New York, is a collegial one. But Judge Jose A. Cabranes, writing for himself and five other judges, used unusually tough language in dissenting from the full court’s later refusal to rehear the firefighters’ case.

Judge Cabranes said the panel’s opinion “contains no reference whatsoever to the constitutional claims at the core of this case” and added that “this perfunctory disposition rests uneasily with the weighty issues presented by this appeal.”

That assessment, which was directed at the work of all three judges on the panel, may have carried extra weight with Judge Sotomayor. Judge Cabranes was a mentor to her, and he administered the judicial oath to her twice — in 1992, when she joined the Federal District Court in Manhattan, and again in 1998, when she was elevated to the Second Circuit.

The case, Ricci v. DeStefano, is now before the Supreme Court. In the next month or so, that court will render an unusually high-profile judgment on the work of a judge who hopes to join it. Based on the questioning at the argument in the case last month, the majority’s assessment is likely to be unflattering.

In an interview shortly before she joined the district court in 1992, Ms. Sotomayor spoke about what awaited her, saying that “95 percent of the cases before most judges are fairly mundane.”

“I’m not going to be able to spend much time on lofty ideals,” she said. “The cases that shake the world don’t come along every day. But the world of the litigants is shaken by the existence of their case, and I don’t lose sight of that, either.”

Judge Sotomayor’s six years on the trial court and more than a decade on the Second Circuit probably confirmed those intuitions, in part because of the idiosyncratic dockets of the federal courts in New York. They hear many important cases involving business, securities, employment, white-collar crime and immigration. But they do not regularly confront the great issues of the day.

One exception is on the horizon. The full Second Circuit, including Judge Sotomayor, recently reheard the case of Maher Arar, a Canadian who contends that American officials sent him to Syria in 2002 to be tortured. A divided panel of the court had dismissed Mr. Arar’s case. The decision from the full court should provide clues about Judge Sotomayor’s views concerning how far the government may go in its efforts to combat terrorism.

Thomas C. Goldstein, a lawyer who argues frequently before the Supreme Court and founded Scotusblog, a Web site that covers the court, said there could be no doubt about Judge Sotomayor’s intellectual capacity.

“She’s got the horses, for sure,” Mr. Goldstein said.

Nor, he added, was there any question of her fundamental orientation, based on a review of her decisions. “From the outcomes,” Mr. Goldstein said, “she’s certainly on the left.”

Judge Sotomayor’s rulings have sometimes anticipated decisions of the Supreme Court. In 1999, for instance, she refused to suppress crack cocaine found by police officers who were executing a warrant that had been vacated 17 months before but never deleted from a police database.

That kind of error, Judge Sotomayor said, did not require suppression. The Supreme Court came to the same conclusion in January, a decade after Judge Sotomayor’s decision.

On other occasions, Judge Sotomayor has been content to wait for definitive guidance from the Supreme Court. In January, she joined an unsigned decision rejecting a Second Amendment challenge to a New York law prohibiting the possession of chukka sticks, a weapon used in martial arts made up of two sticks joined by a rope or chain.

The decision reasoned that the Supreme Court’s ruling last year establishing an individual right to bear arms, District of Columbia v. Heller, had not yet been applied to the states. The Second Circuit’s decision may well reach the Supreme Court.

In a 2004 dissent, Judge Sotomayor seemed to be in agreement with Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s observation in a recent interview with USA Today that female judges can be more sensitive to claims that strip searches of young girls are unduly intrusive.

The majority opinion in the 2004 case, by two male judges, upheld the legality of some strip searches of girls held at juvenile detention centers in Connecticut.

In her dissent, Judge Sotomayor wrote that the majority had not been attentive enough to “the privacy interests of emotionally troubled children” who “have been victims of abuse or neglect, and may be more vulnerable mentally and emotionally than other youths their age.”

That was in line with Justice Ginsburg’s questioning from the bench last month in Safford Unified School District v. Redding, which concerned what she called a “humiliating” strip search of a 13-year-old middle school student by school officials in Arizona.

In her dissent, Judge Sotomayor also emphasized how “embarrassing and humiliating” the searches of the girls in Connecticut had been. “The officials inspected the girls’ naked bodies front and back, and had them lift their breasts and spread out folds of fat,” Judge Sotomayor wrote.

In a 2002 dissent, Judge Sotomayor said she would have ruled that the First Amendment has a role to play in protecting anonymous racist communications made by a police officer. Saying she found the communications “patently offensive, hateful and insulting,” Judge Sotomayor nonetheless would have allowed the officer’s case against the police department that fired him to proceed to trial.

She said the majority should not “gloss over three decades of jurisprudence and the centrality of First Amendment freedoms in our lives because it is confronted with speech it does not like.”

DOES THAT GO FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY ACTIONS VERSUS CONSERVATIVES' FREE SPEECH... OR WILL TALK SHOWS REQUIRE OPPOSITE VIEW REPRESENTATION FOR THE MAJORITY?

Sunday, May 24, 2009

How To Beat The Truck MPG Edict

Along about 2016, it will be harder and more expensive to buy a new full-sized pickup truck than an Aston Martin. Those big pickups... even with a hybrid powertrain... get about 20-21 MPG. The manufacturers have to sell a lot of tiny trucks to offset each full-sized trucks, so there will be a lottery to buy the big ones. What's a nation to do?

Well, here is an idea for an enterprising corporation. For the next few years, buy up as many full-size pickups as possible. The automobile companies will give you a great fleet discount. Park these babies all over the U.S. in lots previously owned by Chrysler and GM dealers who were given the heave-ho because they ... they just were, so forget the explanation.

Anyway, get a bunch of illegal aliens to rev-up the trucks and drive them a mile or two each month (under the supervision of an off-duty border agent). Then wait until 2016 and sell them as EXTREMELY LOW-MILEAGE, VINTAGE TRUCKS! You'll be able to price them at exactly what an impossible-to-obtain full-size 2016 model sells for, which will be significantly higher than you paid for those older trucks. And because they are USED TRUCKS, those nasty mandate MPGs don't matter.

That's better than investing in vaporware (Cap and Trade credits).

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Obama’s Euro Dream Cars

The hand is quicker than the eye. Watch carefully. Oh, you missed it. The new CAFE standards passed before you could see rational debate. Too bad for the automobile manufacturers.



Thursday, May 21, 2009


Obama’s Euro Dream Cars [Henry Payne]

Explicit in the Obama administration’s new mpg edict is Euro-envy (a sentiment that informs much of this president’s economics). If the Europeans can drive 39 mpg cars, why can’t we?

Yes, European cars average 39 mpg. That
s under the duress of $7-a-gallon petrol. And on a smaller continent with less space and narrower roads. And — as my Michigan colleagues Steve Siler and Mike Duchane of Car & Driver point out — in vehicles less capable and considerably more expensive than ours.

“Car for car,” they write, “European vehicles aren
t meaningfully more efficient. Take the Ford Focus sedan, a car thats comparably sized here and in Europe. In the U.S., the base Focus sedan costs $15,000, has 140 hp, and is rated at 28 mpg combined by the EPA. The base Focus sedan available in Germany costs $20,000 (plus a 19-percent tax), has only 79 hp, and would be rated by the EPA at approximately 30 mpg combined if they were to test it. Paying an extra $5000, Europeans sacrifice 44 percent of their horsepower and gain less than 10 percent in fuel economy.

“So why is Europe's fleet so much more efficient overall? The cars people buy there are much smaller. The Focus is one of the tinier mass-market cars sold in the U.S. today, but . . . the average European consumer buys a car a few sizes smaller than a Focus. And about half of Europeans buy diesels, which consume around 30 percent less fuel.”

Obama mouthpieces like Michigan governor Granholm insist that we can have it all: Greener cars with the same capabilities. But the Euro experience proves there is no such thing as a free lunch.

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

US housing starts plunge to record low

Unemployment nearing double-digits nationwide.

Congress passing laws that will add over $1,000 per vehicle in costs to control CO2 so that plants don't grow too fast.

Congress passing laws so that you can use alternative energy to heat, cool, and power your home at significantly higher rates than present rates.

And this...

US housing starts plunge to record low

By Alan Rappeport in New York

Published: May 19 2009 14:07 | Last updated: May 19 2009 14:58

New US residential building fell to the lowest level since 1959 last month, signalling that the stricken housing market could have further to fall.

Housing starts fell for the ninth time in 10 months, dropping by 12.8 per cent to an adjusted annual rate of construction of 458,000, commerce department figures showed on Tuesday. The decline dashed analysts’ expectations of an increase in new construction, but many took this as good news because the overhang of housing inventory needs to be slashed for a recovery to occur.

The monthly fall was entirely due to a steep drop in multi-family home construction, which plummeted by 46.1 per cent. Single-family housing starts actually rose by 2.8 per cent in April, suggesting a bottoming out in that segment of the market.

“In the multi-family segment of the market, the recession, specifically the battered labour market, has taken a clear toll on the rate of household formation, leading to diminished demand,” said Richard Moody, chief economist at Forward Capital.

On the year, housing starts have plunged by 54.2 per cent, as builders have been wary of breaking new ground amid plunging real estate prices. Last month’s drop followed a fall in new construction in March, when revised figures showed housing starts declined by 8.5 per cent. During the height of the construction boom, monthly housing starts peaked at 2.27m in January 2006.

“A weak starts number is good for the economy because it stabilises real estate prices,” said Mike Englund, an economist at Action Economics.

Home prices have seen record drops in the last year and remain nearly 30 per cent below their peak in July 2006. The National Association of Realtors said last week that the median price of an existing home fell by 13.8 per cent to $169,000 in the first quarter of this year from the same period in 2008. Foreclosures and distressed sales made up nearly half of all transactions in the first quarter and continue to rise as job cuts continue to spread.

Joshua Shapiro, chief US economist at MFR, said that the market for cheaper, single-family homes is beginning to bottom, but that the higher end of the housing sector remains bloated.

“We continue to believe that the overall median price of homes is going to continue to decline for some time,” Mr Shapiro said. “The bottom end of the market, however, will probably continue to show signs of life as long as first-time buyers can get the financing they need.”

Building permits, which signal future construction, fell by 3.3 per cent in April to 494,000, itself a record low. However, permits for single-family homes climbed by 3.6 per cent. On the year, building permits are down by 50.2 per cent.

The results on Tuesday came after a hopeful survey the day before that showed US homebuilder confidence rose to an eight-month high in May and has doubled since falling to a record low at the beginning of the year as buyers responded to new incentives to break ground.

The National Association of Home Builders’ index of homebuilder sentiment rose from 14 to 16 this month, in line with economists’ expectations. The figure remains 78 per cent below the peak of hopefulness reached in June 2005 when the index rose to 72. A reading of more than 50 indicates “good” conditions.

Ian Sheperdson, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics, notes that in spite of the recent signs of life, homebuilders are unlikely to ramp up production any time soon because the overhang of inventory remains so high. Moreover, the market for existing homes remains severely depressed because of widespread foreclosures.

Oh, and oil prices are over $60 again.

So tell me what is the basis for economic optimism?

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Pelosi: C.I.A. Misled Congress Over Waterboarding

Water skiing, water boarding, fun stuff. I was misled by the CIA. I thought they were trying to be friendly with those nice Middle Eastern fellows. I never dreamed that they would leave them out in the middle of the lake to drown. Why, that's simply terrible.

May 14, 2009, 12:33 pm

Pelosi: C.I.A. Misled Congress Over Waterboarding

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi discussed what she knew about harsh questioning of terror detainees during a news conference on Thursday.Ozier Muhammad/The New York Times House Speaker Nancy Pelosi discussed what she knew about harsh questioning of terror detainees during a news conference on Thursday.

Update | 3:21 p.m.
Under fire from Republicans for what she knew about harsh questioning of terror detainees, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on Thursday asserted that the C.I.A. had misled Congress about its techniques, even as she acknowledged that she had learned in 2003 that the agency had subjected suspects to waterboarding.

At a tense press conference, Ms. Pelosi said for the first time that a staff member alerted her in February 2003 that top lawmakers on the House Intelligence Committee had been briefed on the use of tough interrogation methods on terror suspects.

But she said the fact that she did not speak out at the time due to secrecy rules did not make her complicit in any abuse of detainees. She accused the C.I.A. and Bush administration of lying to Congress about what was actually transpiring with the detainees.

“I am saying that the C.I.A. was misleading the Congress and at the same the administration was misleading the Congress on weapons of mass destruction,” Ms. Pelosi said.

The C.I.A., reacting to Ms. Pelosi’s remarks, said that a chart prepared by the Director of National Intelligence and cited last week by congressional Republicans to show that Ms. Pelosi had taken part in a September 2002 briefing on interrogation techniques was “true to the language in the Agency’s records.”

An agency spokesman, George Little, added that the C.I.A. director, Leon E. Panetta, had pointed out in a recent letter to Congress that the information “is drawn from the past files of the C.I.A.” and represented contemporaneous memoranda “and notes that summarized the best recollections of those individuals.”

But Ms. Pelosi said she was told at that briefing that waterboarding, one of the most controversial of the harsh techniques employed, was not being used.

Republicans took sharp issue with the speaker’s remarks.

“The speaker’s comments continue to raise more questions than provide answers,” said Representative John A. Boehner of Ohio, the House Republican minority leader. “It’s pretty clear that they were well aware of what these enhanced interrogation techniques were; they were well aware that they’d been used; and it seems to me that they want to have it both ways. You can’t have it both ways.”

Senator Kit Bond of Missouri, vice chairman of the Senate intelligence committee, issued a more scathing response.

“It’s outrageous that a member of Congress would call our terror-fighters liars,” he said in a statement released by his office. “Instead of prosecuting or persecuting, our country should be supporting our intelligence professionals who work to keep us safe.”

The Republican-driven furor over what Ms. Pelosi knew about waterboarding and other techniques has put the speaker on the defensive. She repeatedly referred to a carefully prepared statement to respond to multiple questions at the session with reporters.

Ms. Pelosi blamed the dispute on Republicans and others, saying they are trying to shift attention from those who authorized the interrogations and other tactics now found to be questionable.

Republicans have said the speaker was now criticizing the Bush administration for abusing terror suspects when she herself was aware of it at the time.

“This is a diversionary tactic to take the spotlight off of those who conceived, developed and implemented these policies, which all of us long opposed,” Ms. Pelosi said.

Ms. Pelosi said that at the sole briefing she attended as the senior Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee in September 2002, the only mention of waterboarding by C.I.A. officials was that while it was deemed to be legal, the technique was not being used.

On Friday, Congressional Republicans, citing a new accounting that showed some top Democrats taking part in briefings on harsh methods in 2002, had accused Democrats of full complicity in approving the Bush administration’s brutal interrogations.

A new chart of briefings, prepared by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and cited by the Republicans, appeared to cast doubt on Ms. Pelosi’s assertion that she was never told that waterboarding and other methods had been used, but only that the C.I.A. believed they could legally be used.

The chart said that in a briefing on Sept. 4, 2002, attended by Ms. Pelosi, the interrogation methods that ”had been employed” against a prisoner, Abu Zubaydah, were described. But according to the legal memorandums released last month, Abu Zubaydah had been waterboarded 83 times the month before the briefing, so any objection from Democrats at the Sept. 4 briefing would have come too late.

Indeed, Ms. Pelosi said Thursday that she had learned only after the Sept. 4 briefing that waterboarding had already been used and that some administration experts had questioned its legality.

“We later find out that it had been taking place before they even briefed us about the legal opinions and told us that they were not being used,” she said, referring to the interrogation techniques.

Ms. Pelosi said she had supported a letter opposing the tactics sent in 2003 by Representative Jane Harman of California, who replaced Ms. Pelosi as the top Democrat on the intelligence panel when Ms. Pelosi took over as Democratic leader. But she said that she realized a letter would not change administration policy and said she instead set about to win Democratic control of Congress, then held by Republicans.

“It was clear we had to change the leadership in Congress and in the White House,” she said. “That was my job — the Congress part.”

Ms. Pelosi urged the C.I.A. to disclose the contents of the briefing she attended and said she did not believe there was more she could have done when she learned of the waterboarding.

According to C.I.A. records declassified last week, Ms. Pelosi attended the Sept. 4 briefing about the agency’s interrogation techniques with her Republican counterpart, Representative Porter J. Goss of Florida. Based on agency notes from the briefing, the two lawmakers were told the specific techniques “that had been employed” on Abu Zubaydah.

The C.I.A. records do not list the individual techniques that lawmakers were told about. However, in an op-ed last month, Mr. Goss said he remembers being told specifically about waterboarding during the September 2002 briefing.

“I am slack jawed to read that members claim to have not understood that the techniques on which they were briefed were to actually be employed; or that specific techniques such as “waterboarding” were never mentioned,” Mr. Goss wrote in The Wall Street Journal.

Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Courting Extremes

Doesn't our legal system allow you confront your accuser? Now how is this going to work?
Court puts off witness attire ruling to June


Lansing —
The Michi­gan Supreme Court on Tuesday heard arguments over whether judges can control witness attire but postponed a decision until the court’s June 17 admin­­istrative conference.
The issue arose when Ginnnah Muhammad, 45, of Detroit sued a judge for dismissing her small claims case after she re­fused
to remove her niqab, a veil covering her hair and all of her face except her eyes. A court rule was proposed to allow judges to regulate the appearance of witnesses, but the American Civil Liberties Union and religious groups say there should be an exception for people who wear veils for reli­gious reasons.


Velvet S. Mc Neil /The Detroit News
Some groups support allowing face veils for religious reasons in court.
Why not the same exception for driver's licenses and passports. How about for police lineups?

Sunday, May 10, 2009

GMAC could give GM, Chrysler an advantage

As part of the nationalization of banks and industry, it is only right and proper that companies who fail to participate in the nationalization process be placed in positions of disadvantage.

Obviously, those companies are unwilling to place policy ahead of profit and politics ahead of product. Hence:

GMAC could give GM, Chrysler an advantage


By KIMBERLY S. JOHNSON

ASSOCIATED PRESS

With the federal government almost certain to take control of GMAC Financial Services, analysts suggest it could become a loan machine that gives General Motors and Chrysler a huge advantage over their competitors.

The company was one of 10 financial firms ordered by the government to raise more capital after taking a stress test. In GMAC’s case, it needs $11.5 billion, and the most-likely source is the government itself.

A government-controlled GMAC would have the power to offer low-cost loans to buyers of GM and Chrysler cars and trucks as a way of steering business to the troubled automakers.

“GMAC could become the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae of auto finance. It would probably help sales of GM and Chrysler cars, but it also increases the risk of taxpayer loss,” said Bert Ely, a banking consultant in Alexandria, Va.

“A very serious question is being raised about how the government could use a GMAC to advance the fortunes of GM at the expense of other automakers like Ford and Toyota,” he said.

The Obama administration already owns 5 million shares of GMAC, which it got in exchange for a $5-billion bailout loan. And Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Friday his department is poised to offer GMAC more help.
“We’re going to provide substantial support,” he said.

Chrysler LLC is in bankruptcy, and General Motors Corp. is facing a June 1 deadline to finish a restructuring plan and avoid winding up in bankruptcy as well. U.S. auto sales are at a 27-year low.

The government could lean on GMAC to help stimulate sales with the cash to offer zero- percent financing, or lower credit requirements.

Turning GMAC into a government- funded finance arm for GM and Chrysler would give them a competitive advantage over Ford Motor Co. and perhaps other automakers, said Kirk Ludtke, senior vice president of CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Conn.




PAUL SAKUMA/Associated Press
GMAC, which provides financing for GM customers and dealers, lost $675 million in the first quarter because of the bad economy.

EX-MAYOR KWAME KILPATRICK “MUST REALIZE THAT HE IS ACONVICTED FELON.”

This thought process was never part of his upbringing.

EX-MAYOR KWAME KILPATRICK “MUST REALIZE THAT HE IS ACONVICTED FELON.”

Wayne County Circuit Judge DAVID GRONER
Judge to Kilpatrick: Scale down, pay up

$6,000-a-month payment to Detroit not optional, he says


By M.L. ELRICK and JOE SWICKARD

DETROIT FREE PRESS STAFF WRITERS

Kwame Kilpatrick will have to scale back his lifestyle instead of his restitution payments, a judge ruled Friday.
Wayne County Circuit Judge David Groner rejected the ex-mayor’s request to avoid paying the City of Detroit $6,000 per month toward the $1 million he agreed to reimburse the city as part of a plea deal to resolve the text message scandal.
Kilpatrick attorney Michael Alan Schwartz had argued in a March 24 court filing that Kilpatrick could only spare $6 a month from his $120,000 annual salary as a salesman for a Compuware subsidiary.
He cited expenses such as his $900-a-month 2009 Cadillac Escalade and the $2,700-a-month rent for his posh home in Southlake, near Dallas.
But Groner — who ordered Kilpatrick to make the payments after news reports about his high living after being released from jail in February — wrote in his decision that the former mayor “must realize that he is a convicted felon, and will have to balance meeting all the conditions of his probation, including restitution payments, with the lifestyle to which he has grown accustomed.”
“In other words,” Groner added, Kilpatrick “may not be able to sustain an upper middle class existence while he still owes a debt to society.” Groner invited Kilpatrick to request a restitution hearing, but Schwartz instead said he would appeal the decision.
Maria Miller, a spokeswoman for Wayne County Prosecutor Kym Worthy, said Kilpatrick “presented no legitimate grounds to modify his restitution.”

CONTACT M.L. ELRICK: 313-222-6582 OR
City Council lawyer: Cockrel is the boss
3A



Saturday, May 9, 2009

Jobs: A little less bleak

The bad news is that more people are out of work; the good news is that the rate of job losses is slowing. Is that like saying the bucket isn't leaking as much because most of the water is already gone?

Jobs: A little less bleak

Payrolls post smallest decline since in six months, even as unemployment rises to 25-year high.

By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney.com senior writer

chart_job_losses_0508092.03.gif

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The unemployment rate hit a 25-year high in April, but there were signs of hope as the monthly job loss total fell to the lowest level in six months.

The Labor Department reported Friday that employers cut 539,000 jobs from payrolls in the month. That's an improvement from the revised reading of 699,000 that were lost in March, and the best reading since October, when the economy shed 380,000 jobs.

Still, that brings job losses since the start of 2008 to 5.7 million. And even some economists who believe that economic growth and an end to the recession are close at hand project that job losses could continue through the end of the year or into 2010.

Economists had forecast a loss of 600,000 jobs in April, but there had been signs in recent days that the job losses might not be as bad as expected. A reading on private sector employment by payroll services firm ADP showed a big drop in job losses in April, and there has been a steady decline in recent weeks in people filing for first-time unemployment benefits.

"The massive hemorrhaging in the job market over the past four months has slowed and the worst is behind us," said Sung Won Sohn, economics professor at Cal State University, Channel Islands. "The improving trend in initial claims, a good leading indicator of the employment trend, points to further improvements in the future."

But other experts cautioned against expecting the economy to start adding jobs again in the near term.

Tig Gilliam, chief executive of Adecco Group North America, a unit of the world's largest employment staffing firm, said he wouldn't be surprised to see job losses of 500,000 or more again in the May report.

"The good news is the rate of job losses is slowing," he said. "But it's too soon to say the market has turned around. If we can get back to zero job losses by December, that would be good."

Gilliam pointed out that much of the better-than-expected payroll number is due to a 72,000 increase in government jobs, many of them workers hired to conduct the 2010 census.

The private sector lost 611,000 jobs in April, and Gilliam said "the private sector employment is more important. You've got the census and the stimulus money affecting public sector jobs in this report. The big unkown is when we'll see the stimulus money drive into private sector jobs."

The report showed 72% of private industry sectors reported job losses in the month, although that was an improvement from the nearly 80% that shed jobs in March.

Construction lost another 110,000 jobs while manufacturing shed 149,000 workers and retailers cut staff by 47,000. Business and professional services, a catch-all sector that includes accountants and lawyers that is seen as a sign of overall business hiring, shed 122,000 jobs.

The unemployment rate, based on a separate survey, rose to 8.9% from 8.5% in March, the worst reading since September 1983. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast the rate would rise to 8.9%.

But the unemployment rate, as bad as it was, doesn't indicate the extent of the pain being felt by job seekers. The report showed 27% of the 13.7 million unemployed Americans have been out of work for more than six months, the highest percentage of long-term unemployed among the overall pool of jobless in the 61 years that reading has been tracked.

Almost one out of six members of the labor force are either unemployed, working part-time when they would prefer to work full-time, or are out of work and have become so discouraged that they did not look for work and thus not counted in the unemployed total. That's the highest reading in that measure that goes back to 1994.

"While the pace of the hemorrhaging of jobs may be slowing, the crisis in the labor market continues to deepen at a stunning rate," said Heidi Shierholz, economist with the Economic Policy Instiute, a labor-supported Washington think tank.

Wachovia senior economist Mark Vitner and Gilliam both say they're worried about the impact on jobs in coming reports from the bankruptcy at Chrysler, which will result in a 30-to-60 day shutdown at all of its plants, and the possible bankruptcy at General Motors (GM, Fortune 500). The loss of jobs -- not just at those companies but at their dealers and suppliers -- will be substantial.

And Vitner said that while Wachovia is projecting that there will be economic growth by the fourth quarter of this year, it's projecting that unemployment will continue to rise into 2010, topping out at 10.8% in April of that year.

"We are moving in the right direction, but the recession is not over, and even when it's over that's not an end of the tough times," said Vitner. To top of page

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Barack Obama hints at tougher line on Israel

The nation of Israel has fought for its existence for 60 years and faced continuous assaults from various Arab contingents. Yet the world ... prodded by Arabs and their oil-leveraged political cronies... continue to put a spin on the situation that blames Israel for every problem in the Middle East.

The latest is the notion that if Israel simply agrees to a Palestinian state that everything will work out perfectly. Presuming that could be done... and that would mean that the Palestinians would have to give up Gaza just as Pakistan could not remain divided by India... why does anyone actually think that will solve the Arabs avowed goal of the destruction of Israel? You know, those friendly Arab neighbors that had minor disputes with Israel... Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and the soon-to-be-stated Palestinians.

Nevertheless, our Islamic-oriented President seems to think it is just a matter of Israel being reasonable.

The Obama Administration has signalled a tougher approach towards Israel ahead of fresh talks on the Middle East peace process by insisting it must endorse the creation of an independent Palestinian state.

“Israel has to work toward a two-state solution,” declared Vice-President Joe Biden today in a speech to the annual conference of a powerful pro-Israel lobby group in Washington.

“You’re not going to like my saying this,” he warned the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (Aipac) before adding that the Jewish state should not build any more settlements on Palestinian territory, and should “dismantle existing outposts and allow Palestinians freedom of movement”.

President Obama later held a White House meeting with Shimon Peres, his Israeli counterpart, who holds a largely ceremonial position. But the US Administration’s message appeared to be addressed to the new right-wing Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who is due to visit the White House on May 18.

Mr Netanyahu has dismayed American, Arab and European officials by pointedly refusing to back Palestinian statehood since taking office on March 31. In his own speech to Aipac, sent via satellite link, he said: “We are prepared to resume peace negotiations without any delay and without any preconditions — the sooner the better.” Saeb Erekat, the senior Palestinian negotiator, however, criticised Mr Netanyahu’s speech for its “vagueness” on core issues such as the status of Jerusalem and refugees, as well as its failure to commit to a two-state solution.

Aipac has demonstrated that it — and Israel — still exercise considerable muscle in Washington by persuading the US Justice Department last week to abandon the prosecution of two former employees on charges that they spied on America for Israel.

Aipac’s 6,000 delegates are being urged to bombard Capitol Hill with demands that Congress support ever more draconian sanctions against Iran whose Government has threatened to wipe Israel off the face of the map.

Mr Biden used his speech to reiterate that the US would never abandon its commitment to Israel’s security and that “nothing is off the table” with Iran — a phrase often used to imply that military action against uranium enrichment facilities remains possible.

He added that Israel had the right “to make its own judgment about what it needs to do to defend itself”, which many members of the audience saw as a hint that the US might allow it to deliver an airstrike against Iran’s nuclear sites.

Rahm Emanuel, the White House Chief of Staff, was, however, reported to have linked efforts to thwart Iran’s nuclear programme — “the number one threat in the Middle East” — with progress in the peace process.

He told a private meeting of Aipac donors that the task of building an international coalition against Tehran will be made easier if Israel and the Palestinians hold a constructive dialogue.

Last month, Hillary Clinton, the US Secretary of State, warned Israel that it risks losing Arab support for combating threats from Iran if it rejects peace negotiations with the Palestinians.

General James Jones, Mr Obama’s National Security Adviser, is also said to have told a European foreign minister that — unlike the Bush Administration — the White House was now ready to be “forceful” with Israel.

“The new Administration will convince Israel to compromise on the Palestinian question,” General Jones was reported to have written in a confidential telegramme. “We will not push Israel under the wheels of a bus, but we will be more forceful toward Israel than we have been under Bush.” General Jones is due to travel to London next week for talks with British officials and Mr Netanyahu’s security adviser, Uzi Arad.

President Ahmadinejad of Iran was today meeting the heads of ten hard-line Palestinian groups — including Hamas — on a visit to Syria, sending what one of the leaders said would be a message to the new right-wing Israeli Government.

The Iranian leader arrived in the afternoon and went to the People’s Palace in Damascus, where he was given a red-carpet welcome by President Assad followed by a closed-door meeting.

Monday, May 4, 2009

Link to Economic Crisis Is Vital to Obama Agenda

This article tells it all: Obama could never hope to pass his agenda during normal economic times, so it is critical that the economy appear to remain in turmoil for as long as possible... perhaps even manufacturing turmoil to frighten people into accepting his agenda.

The question is obvious: if his agenda requires a frightened populace and abnormal conditions, why would we expect the Obama administration to try to return our nation to prosperity before he had fundamentally changed the power structure to one of vast centralized control? And in doing that, why would we expect that there actually would be a return to a high level of prosperity?

Published: May 3, 2009

Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff, encapsulated President Obama’s goal long before the first of the First 100 Days: “Never let a serious crisis go to waste.”

Ángel Franco/The New York Times

Rahm Emanuel, White House chief of staff. The Obama team has been accused of exploiting the economic crisis.

That post-election formulation remains the fulcrum for the legislative battle only now starting in earnest. Over the Next 100 Days, the outcome may turn on how convincingly the White House preserves the link between Mr. Obama’s agenda and the painful recession he inherited.

Team Obama casts his initiatives on health care, energy, education and the auto and financial industries as responses to that crisis. His Republican adversaries call the recession merely an excuse for big-government ambitions that liberals have failed to achieve for decades.

Mr. Obama currently holds the upper hand, riding high in the polls while Republicans appear chaotic and hapless. But he is racing to capitalize for good reason. Political history, and some early signs this spring, suggest that time is not on his side.

Weak Economy’s Lift

As Mr. Obama entered the White House in January, the yearlong trickle of job losses had became a flood. The economy, government statistics later revealed, contracted by more than 6 percent in the final quarter of 2008.

Mr. Obama exploited the nation’s alarm in seeking rapid action on his $800 billion economic stimulus plan. Conservatives, pointing to Mr. Emanuel’s remarks, accused the administration of pursuing what Wall Street Journal editorialists called a “40-year wish list” for liberals.

That Mr. Obama quickly overcame Republican opposition provided the strongest evidence so far that the president and Congressional Democrats could seize their opportunity.

“Look at the results,” Mr. Emanuel said in an interview last week. “We’ve passed the largest economic recovery act in American history.”

That paid dividends in public opinion. The latest New York Times/CBS News poll showed that 68 percent of Americans approved of his job performance; 70 percent said Republicans had opposed his economic plans “mostly for political reasons.” The proportion who said they believed the nation was headed in the right direction rose to 41 percent, from 15 percent just before he took office.

Paradoxically, however, that success may complicate Mr. Obama’s task going forward by easing the sense of crisis. And that, in turn, could help Republicans argue that he seeks an excessively costly expansion of government’s role.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll in February showed that 51 percent of Americans wanted government to do more to solve problems, compared with 40 percent who said government was “doing too many things.” Last week, the same survey showed an even split; a 52 percent majority said Mr. Obama had taken on “too many other issues” besides the economy.

That helps explain why Mr. Obama found himself on the defensive at his prime-time news conference over government investments in banks and auto companies. “I want to disabuse people of this notion that somehow we enjoy meddling in the private sector,” he said.

Or, as Mr. Emanuel put it: “The moment requires” government involvement, but only to help troubled companies “make this transition to a different place.”

Risks for Democrats

Some Democrats privately complain that Mr. Emanuel’s “crisis” statement handed Republicans a cudgel for battering their motives. He voices no regrets, saying it is plain that national crises create opportunities for action that do not normally exist.

“It’s not a political tactic,” Mr. Emanuel said. “It’s an observation of human nature and history.” He likened the health care and energy investments that Mr. Obama seeks to the creation of the transcontinental railroad during the Civil War and the G.I. Bill during World War II.

In a jab at former President George W. Bush, he added: “It’s not like we are using this crisis to invade Iraq. You can ask the right-wing blogs about that.”

Yet the Senate’s defeat last week of a measure that Mr. Obama had endorsed, to let judges trim mortgages of homeowners in bankruptcy court, underscored the limits of Democrats’ ability to act even after Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania augmented their majority by switching from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party. Just as the banking industry helped thwart Mr. Obama’s allies on that issue, affected interests may bolster Republican challenges to the administration’s health care and energy goals.

Mr. Obama wants action in 2009 on both fronts, aware that predecessors like Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton saw their political capital decline markedly after their first years in office. His top aide, who also served in Mr. Clinton’s White House, insists that an agile Democratic majority can still deliver.

“Don’t make perfect the enemy of the essential,” Mr. Emanuel counseled, arguing for compromise. In a remark doubling as self-description, he praised the House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, Democrat of California, as a “pragmatic, put-points-on-the-board, get-wins” legislator.

Even if Americans had begun feeling better, Mr. Emanuel insisted that the crisis atmosphere remained strong enough to keep political winds at Mr. Obama’s back.

“I still believe people know this is very fragile,” he said. “They believe this is a moment for big things, because we have big problems.”